To completely understand how great this battle between the Boston Celtics and the Los Angeles Lakers and eventually to give my prediction for this year’s edition of the NBA Finals we will take a look and analyze each head-to-head matchups of the starting line up and compare the bench and the coaches of each team.
Let the battle begin!
CENTER
VS.
Kendrick Perkins vs. Pau Gasol:
Without looking into any statistics, hands-down Pau Gasol wins this match-up. Perkins is just raw to stop Pau Gasol one-on-one. Perkins is also incapable of scoring heavily over Gasol. Perkins will be most effective helping on defense, denying Pau Gasol the ball and grabbing the loose balls. Pau Gasol on the other just need to get the ball in his hands and beat Perkins one-on-one. If help defense comes (ie: Garnett) it won’t be a problem for Gasol because he has good court vision (3.2 AST season average) that will allow him to elude his defender and make a great pass to Mr. MVP Kobe Bryant.
POWER FORWARD
VS.
Kevin Garnett vs. Lamar Odom:
Just like the first match-up, this one is also a landslide win. Garnett is just superior over Odom in all aspects. Garnett is also the heart and soul of this Celtics team. You can see in his eyes that he has complete disregard of human life when he gets into the zone. Lamar Odom is just to inconsistent to be able to make a difference in this series most specially that he will have the task to stop Garnett. For Lamar to be effective, he needs to coordinate with Gasol for the help defense. A few switching of assignments between Odom and Gasol can help distract Garnett and prevent him getting comfortable over his defense. What does Garnett need to do? He just needs to be himself
SMALL FORWARD
VS.
Paul Pierce vs. Vladimir Radmanovic:
Radmanovic has been playing great lately that I predict Phil Jackson will most likely continue to start him. Radmanovic going head-to-head with Pierce seems to be odd but if he is going to start I doubt he will be tasked to defend Perkins or Garnett. Maybe at some points he will defend Ray Allen and Kobe will take on Pierce. With Radmanovic defending Pierce, I give this match-up to Pierce. Pierce is just to dominant for Radmanovic to stop him. Pierce have a wide array of arsenal that Radmanovic will literally be brought into school. For Radmanovic to be able to help the Lakers, he should try to deny Pierce the ball or make Pierce work hard for his shots and him drilling those 3 point shots he is know for.
SHOOTING GUARD
VS.
Ray Allen vs. Kobe Bryant:
Need I to say more? Ray Allen is the best shooting guard in the NBA! Just kidding.. Of Course, 2008 NBA Season MVP Kobe Bryant wins this one. Kobe Bryant is arguably the best player in the planet right now. I just have no confidence that Ray Allen can stop Kobe. Like Garnett, Kobe Bryant just needs to be himself for him to dominate the series. As for Ray Allen, he should ask Doc Rivers to design a play for help defense against Kobe. If they can afford to switch assignment between Pierce and Allen on defense then that will be better. Ray Allen also needs to come alive all throughout the series. He can’t fizzle out the way he did early in the playoffs. If he can’t stop Kobe, he should at least match Kobe’s output.
POINT GUARD
VS.
Rajon Rondo vs. Derek Fisher:
For me, this is the most interesting match-up in the starting line-up. The other four positions are all lopsided wins. Here, Rondo or Fisher can come up on top. Rondo has the better stats over Fisher but Fisher is the veteran and knows how to win championships. The key to this match-up is whether Rondo will allow Fisher to bully him on the court. Both players are capable on the offensive and defensive of the game. Practically, this is a tie. A wait and see match-up.
- CELTICS – 2.5 (.5 [DRAW])
- LAKERS – 2.5 (.5 [DRAW])
COACH
VS.
Doc Rivers vs. Phil Jackson:
The battle between this two coaches does not only involve winning the championship for the Celtics or the Lakers. This also a battle for legitimacy. Doc Rivers has been regarded as one of the worst coaches in the NBA before Celtics formed the new Big 3 and winning the championship is in some way his vindication. If Doc Rivers and the Boston Celtics win the championship, Rivers will finally earn respect as a coach. Phil Jackson on the other hand is chasing Red Auerbach’s record. If Phil Jackson notches his 10th NBA title then he can claim that maybe he is the greatest coach that ever lived. Coincidentally, Red Auerback was the mastermind of the numerous championships of the Boston Celtics. Phil Jackson can claim his 10th while beating Auerbach’s former team.
Who is the better coach? if we base it on championships won then Phil Jackson will win it 9-0. Is there anyway Doc Rivers can out coach Phil Jackson? I doubt it. What should Doc Rivers do? He should just work and improve their defense with the help of his assistant coach Tom Thibodeau. Who wins this one? Phil Jackson
- CELTICS – 2.5 (.5 [DRAW])
- LAKERS – 3.5 (.5 [DRAW])
BENCH
VERSUS
CELTICS BENCH: Tony Allen, Sam Cassell, Glen Davis, Eddie House, James Posey, Leon Powe, PJ Brown
VERSUS
LAKERS BENCH: Trevor Ariza, Jordan Farmar, Ronny Turiaf, Sasha Vujacic, Luke Walton, DJ Mbenga, Chris Mihm
This one is also tough to call. Both benches have delivered for their respective team. In the front line, Davis, Posey and Powe came up for the Celtices while Walton and Turiaf did the same for the Lakers. At the back court, Allen and Cassell has delivered for the Celtics so as Farmar and Vujacic. Which bench will come on top? It will depend on how the coaches will rotate their line-up. Another crucial part in this series is the first substitution for both teams in all games to be played. This will actually show how the coaches can adjust and match-up the opponent. The clear contrast between the the benches is that Celtics’s bench is more defense oriented while the Lakers bench is comprised of offensive players. On how this will play out, your guess is as good as mine. Virtually it’s a tie once again. But I have to give a little more edge to the Celtics because I believe that defense wins championships.
- CELTICS – 3.25 (.5 [DRAW] + .75)
- LAKERS – 3.75 (.5 [DRAW] + .25)
CONCLUSION
As my scoring shows, the Los Angeles Lakers have the slight edge over the Boston Celtics. If my scoring is consistent then I expect a Game 7 with the Lakers winning by virtue of a great 4th quarter play.
MY PREDICTION
Although the Lakers have won this head-to-head match-up scoring, I still pick the Boston Celtics to win six games or less. I just feel that the Celtics is hungrier with three aging future hall of famers raring to have a championship ring. Neither of the Big 3 ever came close to winning the championship before and they know that this might be the only year tghat they can take it. The Lakers on the other hand is also hungry to win as Pau Gasol is yet to have one and Kobe wanting to prove he can win a championship without Shaq (but with Gasol) but I still pick the Celtics because I believe, as I have written above, that defense win championships and Celtics is one of the most underrated defensive team. This will be a battle of heart and who wants it more. Truly a making of an epic battle that will forever be etched in the history of the NBA.
Back In Boston, Can The Celtics Finally Win It In Game 6?
OK. I failed to make an analysis of game 5. So I’ll do a hybrid. This on will be an analysis of game 5 and a preview of game 6. Here I go…
Game 5 for Boston is very disappointing. They had the Lakers where they want them but they just can’t convert the shots they needed. The end result is a view of LA celebrating for extending the series. The Big 3 of LA was present. Kobe did his job, Pau Gasol finally showed up, and Lamar Odom played well enough to snatch game 5. As for the Celtics, Paul Pierce was the lone bright star in their Big 3. KG was in foul trouble and had a hard time shooting the ball, Ray Allen’s three-pointer didn’t went in when they needed it the most, and Pierce who dropped a lot of points suddenly lost his focus during the end game that caused them the game.
Now, in a few hours, game 6 of the 2008 NBA Finals will be played on Boston’s own court. They now have the perfect setting for winning championship number 17. What do they have to do? Relax. The team was so eager to finish the Lakers in L.A. that they lost focus. KG can’t go strong towards the basket and take a soft attack to the basket expecting a foul to be called. Paul Pierce can’t be too eager and lose the ball if he wants to win. Ray Allen needs to show that he has one more spectacular game in him to finally finish of the Lakers. The Celtics needs to run the plays drawn by Coach Doc Rivers. The last thing that the Celtics need to win championship number 17 is another spectacular game from the bench. That’s where they get their extra strength. Again, the Celtics need to relax and let the game flow and feel it. IF they do this, it’s over for the Lakers.
Now, the Lakers are once again in a win or go home situation. The good thing about this is that they already survived one. The only thing they need to do is to tighten their defense and be ready for a Celtics attack. Coach Phil Jackson’s Zen philosophy might not be working on Kobe but it seems to me that it does with the rest of the team. That is good enough for me. If Kobe is resting then the Zen philosophy is at work and it has been working for the Lakers as the bench have kept the game close enough so that when Kobe comes back they are poised to go for the kill.
Who will win? I say Boston. They have only conceded one game at home in the playoffs. With that, I think the magic or hands of Red Aurbach is at work and Red will definitely look after the Celtics for game 6.
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Tagged as Celtics, Game 5, Game 6, Lakers, NBA Finals